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A WBA/RAD or CVS/RAD NEWCO as a Counterweight to Narrowing Retail Pharmacy...

This note updates our argument that US retail pharmacy networks are likely to narrow, compressing pharmacy dispensing margins – and in particular focuses on our belief that a WBA/RAD or CVS/RAD NEWCO...

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SSR Health New Product Approval Portfolios & Supporting Data Update

Drug, biotech, and research-based spec pharma stocks tend to outperform their peers in the year or so before and after regulatory actions (‘PDUFA’ dates) on major new products, with a large portion of...

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ABC/CAH/MCK: US Generic Inflation Continues in 1Q15

On a sales-weighted basis, prices (paid by retailers) for US generics rose 4.7% in 1Q15, substantially faster than in 4Q14 (0.5%), and on par with the average pace of inflation (5.1%) seen since early...

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ABBV/PCYC: Imbruvica and ABT-199 are Synergistic

ABBV’s acquisition of PCYC raised eyebrows, both because of the valuation placed on PCYC, and because ABBV has a promising lead compound (ABT-199) being developed for the same B-cell malignancies...

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SNY: The (multi-faceted) Bull Case

We believe SNY is undervalued, for 3 independent reasons, any one of which is sufficient to show the shares are undervalued With partner REGN, SNY is one of two entrants (the other being AMGN) in the...

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ABBV: A Reluctant Farewell to the HCV Bull Case

US HCV prescription demand has begun easing, and is likely to decline. Viekira Pak has maximized its share within the ESRX contract, meaning further share gains can only come from exclusive or...

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SNY/REGN: Eligible Patients and Sales Potential for Praluent

Praluent received US approval for patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) or HeFH who are on maximally tolerated statin doses but who need additional LDL-C lowering. There are...

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US Generic Inflation Pauses in 2Q15, But is Very Likely to Resume

The sales-weighted price at which US drug retailers acquire generics (NADAC*) has grown by more than 40 percent in just over two years. This unprecedented run of inflation is wholly explained by price...

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SSR Health New Product Approval Portfolios & Supporting Data Update

Drug, biotech, and research-based spec pharma stocks tend to outperform their peers in the year or so before and after regulatory actions (‘PDUFA’ dates) on major new products, with a large portion of...

View Article


Drug & Biotech Companies with Undervalued Pipelines: Updated (and Expanded) List

Phase 2 and earlier pipelines account for more than a third of larger biopharma companies’ market values; however because the market knows much less about these ‘hidden’ pipelines than about companies’...

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CVS/TGT: What Does the Store-In-Store Strategy Mean for RAD?

If we assume CVS cannot repeat the TGT store-in-store deal with other major mass merchants, but can do such a deal with a single supermarket (who would likely impose limits on further deals with other...

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SNY/REGN: When to Expect Outcomes Data for Praluent

Last week’s Advisory Committee vote implies the Praluent and Repatha labels might be somewhat restricted until their outcomes trials are completed. Presumably positive outcomes data would lead to...

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A Strategic Look at CVS/TGT; Why We’re Still Bullish on RAD

CVS’ acquisition of TGT’s pharmacies raises from 17.6% to 22.7% the percent of the US population living in areas where CVS cannot be excluded from a retail pharmacy network (at least one that complies...

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ACA at the Supreme Court: Subsidies Are Here to Stay, Even if SCOTUS Finds...

Congress cannot repeal the ACA; the President would almost certainly veto a repeal bill, and Republicans lack the two-thirds votes required in both chambers to overturn. (Republicans have 56 percent of...

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US Drug Pricing Stalls. Uh-Oh …

Growth in US brand pharmaceuticals’ list prices has accelerated – but discounts are growing even faster. As a result, on average US brands’ net price growth is very nearly zero Net price growth is...

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A WBA/RAD or CVS/RAD NEWCO as a Counterweight to Narrowing Retail Pharmacy...

This note updates our argument that US retail pharmacy networks are likely to narrow, compressing pharmacy dispensing margins – and in particular focuses on our belief that a WBA/RAD or CVS/RAD NEWCO...

View Article

SSR Health New Product Approval Portfolios & Supporting Data Update

Drug, biotech, and research-based spec pharma stocks tend to outperform their peers in the year or so before and after regulatory actions (‘PDUFA’ dates) on major new products, with a large portion of...

View Article


ABC/CAH/MCK: US Generic Inflation Continues in 1Q15

On a sales-weighted basis, prices (paid by retailers) for US generics rose 4.7% in 1Q15, substantially faster than in 4Q14 (0.5%), and on par with the average pace of inflation (5.1%) seen since early...

View Article

ABBV/PCYC: Imbruvica and ABT-199 are Synergistic

ABBV’s acquisition of PCYC raised eyebrows, both because of the valuation placed on PCYC, and because ABBV has a promising lead compound (ABT-199) being developed for the same B-cell malignancies...

View Article

SNY: The (multi-faceted) Bull Case

We believe SNY is undervalued, for 3 independent reasons, any one of which is sufficient to show the shares are undervalued With partner REGN, SNY is one of two entrants (the other being AMGN) in the...

View Article
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